The 3.50pm at Lingfield is an interesting handicap and the first thing to note is that they should go a good gallop from the off. Pearl Spectre interests me at a big price should the expected pace pressure fail to materialise, as it so often can when you least expect, but instead I'm going to play Alfred Hutchinson at 16/1. He's David O'Meara's second string according to the betting market but has Adam Kirby on board for the first time in nearly a year and that's an obvious positive around this track in particular. Further hope can be garnered from the 10-year-old's latest run at this track when mid-division over a mile (only beaten 2-lengths) as he travelled like a horse who was at something close to peak form before flattening out, and the hope today is that dropping back to 7f could do the trick.
There's no doubting it's speculation on my part as all bar two of his ten wins have come over further but he's definitely quick enough to lie up with these early doors and if the forward-going sorts fall in a hole up the straight, he should be staying on strongly with the likes of Mr Bossy Boots (poorly drawn; not sure whether blinkers will have the desired effect), Shyron (also poorly drawn) and favourite Sword Exceed (on an upward curve and unexposed at the trip but is a mediocre price in my book). Gate seven is ideal for Alfred and anything within a couple of points of the 16/1 quotes are simply too big and warrant a bet. I just hope he's not used too early due to having the stamina for further as that rarely ends well. Sit in mid-division, get motoring on the bend and engage the turbo afterwards. Easy...
3:50 - Alfred Hutchinson - 1pt @ 16/1 (General)
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