BBOTD – Sept’ 21st

James Boyle
September 21, 2012

All hope looked to be gone when Misplaced Fortune violently drifted and given my record with horses who are easy to back (it is horrific), I had assumed that it wasn't going to be her day. However, she came home very strongly to win, despite the market signals suggesting otherwise and it's absolutely bizarre. I'd love to know who was laying her, and more importantly, why. Nothing was against her, with regard to conditions, her mark and how the race was likely to be run, so the only reason you'd assume a horse would drift that horribly is because it was going to be stopped. She certainly wasn't though, and won at 15/2. Very bizzare.

+15.00pts on the day. Form of last 10 selections; 0-2-8-1-0-8-9-0-0-1 (2 winners & 1 place).

Just the one selection for today and hopefully he'll go well. Have a good day folks, and roll on tomorrow!


3:25 Ayr - Take It To The Max - 1pt @ 7/1 (Bet365, Boyles, Hills, Powers)

Take It To The Max hasn't been at this best this season, but looks just the type to bounce back to form in a race that Richard Fahey has done well in down the years (3 wins, 4 places, 15 runners). This 5-year-old gelding only ran to his mark on one occasion throughout the season so far, when finishing third of 11 in a quite decent York handicap back in July. His other six outings have been quite disappointing, but the most recent two are easily forgiven and the first four came when he was running off marks between 92 & 97, in contests that he just wasn't good enough to play a hand in. Today, he's rated 86 and clearly handicapped to strike, having won a competitive Leopardstown handicap off 88 back in the autumn of last year. On the run previous to that win, he won at this meeting off 82, cosily, when sporting first-time cheekpieces. They are back on now, for the first time since he was running off 97 in the early part of the season and hopefully they'll have the same effect, as he won both his starts in them last year. Tony Hamilton being on board is a negative, as I have come to very much dislike him but he does at least have a grand record at the track. The plans of Richard Fahey are beyond me, with him having three of the eight horses in the field. I reckon that Hamilton's mount is the one to be on though, with the ground being very favourable and the race likely to be run to suit as well. If the veteran Fahey performer Extraterrestrial bounced back to anything like his best then he'd be a very lively contender off 82 with Shane B Kelly taking off a further 5lbs but the marginal preference is for the cheekpieced-again son of Bahamian Bounty (has very decent sire stats are here too).


Result - 6th @ 6/1; Ran flat, though was kept to far rail for some reason.